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Sikandar vs Chhaava: Can Salman Khan’s Eid Release Surpass Vicky Kaushal’s Opening Day Box Office Record?

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With high expectations riding on Salman Khan’s comeback, Sikandar aims to surpass Chhaava’s ₹31 crore Day 1—but can it deliver amid lukewarm buzz and competition?

Mumbai, March 22 – With just days to go for the grand Eid release of Salman Khan’s Sikandar, all eyes are now on its opening day box office performance. Can the film, co-starring Rashmika Mandanna, surpass the ₹31 crore Day 1 earnings of Vicky Kaushal’s blockbuster Chhaava? Let’s break it down.

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🎬 Sikandar Opening Day Forecast

Directed by AR Murugadoss, Sikandar is targeting a ₹40 crore net opening in India, an ambitious number given its relatively low buzz—especially for a Salman Khan release. While the teaser was met with mixed reactions, all hopes are pinned on the yet-to-be-released trailer, which could elevate the pre-release excitement. The film’s narrative, which promises a blend of action and drama, is expected to resonate well with audiences, especially during the festive season.

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Advance bookings will gain momentum closer to Chaand Raat, with walk-ins on Eid Sunday expected to contribute significantly to Day 1 numbers. Historically, Eid releases have seen a surge in footfalls, and Sikandar is banking on this trend to boost its opening day collection.

“For Sikandar to hit ₹40 crore on Day 1, the trailer must make an impact, and Eid weekend footfalls need to be exceptionally high,” trade analysts say. The film’s marketing strategy will play a crucial role in shaping audience perceptions and driving ticket sales.

🆚 Can It Beat Chhaava?

Vicky Kaushal’s historical action-drama Chhaava opened with a strong ₹31 crore, riding on solid content, patriotic themes, and Rashmika Mandanna’s popularity. It has since gone on to earn ₹775 crore worldwide, becoming the biggest Indian film of 2025 so far. The film’s success can be attributed to its engaging storyline and the emotional connection it established with viewers.

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Despite Salman Khan’s star power, Sikandar faces stiff competition from Chhaava, which is still holding well in its sixth week. However, Salman’s last theatrical release, Tiger 3 (2023), had opened to ₹41 crore, proving that the superstar can still draw big numbers—especially on festive occasions. The anticipation surrounding Sikandar is palpable, but it remains to be seen if it can match or exceed the impressive figures set by its predecessor.

🔍 Factors in Sikandar’s Favor:

  • Eid release: Typically boosts footfalls, as families flock to theaters during the holiday.
  • Fresh pairing: The chemistry between Salman and Rashmika is generating curiosity among fans.
  • Return to action: Salman’s foray back into action-packed cinema is likely to attract his loyal fanbase.
  • Sunday release: The timing of the release adds to the potential for increased audience turnout.

❗ Challenges Ahead:

  • Lack of hype: The initial teaser did not generate the expected excitement, which could impact pre-release buzz.
  • Chhaava’s dominance: The ongoing success of Vicky Kaushal’s film poses a significant challenge.
  • Competition: The cricket season and various Hollywood releases could divert audience attention.
  • Limited marketing window: With the trailer yet to be released, there is a narrow window for a marketing push.

📝 Verdict:

Sikandar has the potential to surpass Chhaava’s opening day figure if the trailer lands well and Eid holiday footfalls are strong. However, crossing the ₹40 crore mark may be a stretch unless buzz picks up dramatically over the next few days. The film’s success will largely depend on how well it resonates with audiences and whether it can carve out its own identity amidst the competition.

Whether Sikandar can usher in a fresh box office wave or bow to Chhaava’s ongoing reign—only time and ticket counters will tell.

Tags:

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Last Updated on March 22, 2025 by Misha Bhatia

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